This Tweet Got Ignored in January — Now It’s the Most Accurate Market Call of 2025 On January 18, 2025, macro analyst Carl Moon Runefelt issued a stark warning on Twitter about an impending financial meltdown. At the time, his prediction raised eyebrows, with little recognition or traction from the financial media. Fast forward three months, and the S&P 500 ...

Market Volatility: Understanding the Current Landscape and Trump’s Reaction Function As we navigate through the murky waters of today’s financial markets, one thing is crystal clear: volatility is back and making headlines. The VIX volatility index, which measures market expectations of near-term volatility, has managed to close above 30 for an exasperating consecutive 10 sessions. This unsettling trend has not ...

Can the Stock Market Find Solace in Good Friday? A Conservative Analysis The day before Good Friday has often been a beacon of hope for stock market investors. Historically, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite have seen gains in the trading day leading up to this Christian holiday. But in the chaotic financial landscape of 2025, ...

Citigroup CEO Bets on U.S. Economy Amid Tariff Turmoil Confidence in the American Dollar In a statement that underscores resilience amidst trade tensions, Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser expressed unwavering confidence in the U.S. economy. While tariff debates rage on and uncertainty lingers over trade policies, Fraser boldly asserted that the United States will remain the premier global economic powerhouse, with ...

S&P 500 Tally First ‘Death Cross’ in Three Years: What This Means for the Market The S&P 500 has crossed a pivotal point, one that evokes a historically grim omen for traders and investors alike. On April 14, 2025, the large-cap index recorded its first “death cross” since March 2022, marking an event that can signal a deeper correction lurking ...

From Trade of the Year to Investor Nightmare: Understanding the Fallout in the Bond Market In the wake of President Trump’s aggressive tariffs, the bond market has faced unprecedented upheaval, crumbling what many dubbed the “trade of the year.” The basis trade—an attempt to profit from small price discrepancies within the Treasury market—has turned into a calamity that has left ...